Россия – сырьевой придаток Китая

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Тема
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Россия и Китай  

В июне 2009 года межу Россией и Китаем было подписано совершенно эпохальное соглашение. Руководители обеих стран подписали контракт на двадцать лет на поставку Россией Китаю 300 млн тонн нефти общей ценой 100 млрд. дол.

 

Учитывая, что в тонне нефти 5,7 баррелей, это означает, что Россия в течение двадцати лет будет поставлять Китаю нефть по цене 57 дол. за баррель. Это означает, что Россия отныне – сырьевой придаток Китая.

57 долларов за баррель – это та цена, которую первый вице-премьер российского правительства публично объявил «справедливой». Теперь мы знаем, что такое справедливая цена – это цена, по которой Россия продает нефть Китаю.

Для того, чтобы продавать эту нефть, надо построить нефтепровод в Китай – ВСТО. Нефтепровод до Дацина, который хотел строить ЮКОС, стоил по плану около 4 млрд. дол. Заявленная в марте 2008-го года общая стоимость ВСТО – 29 млрд. дол. При таком положении дел транспортировка нефти по этому нефтепроводу будет окупаться при цене нефти свыше 80 дол. за баррель. Мы подписали по 57 долларов.

Когда государство продает что-то себе в убыток, это не является ни случайностью, ни геополитикой. Это является совершенно другим, конкретным поступком, за который, кстати, в Китае дают «вышку».

Если Кремль планирует впечатлить Запад контрактом, по которому мы будем нести несколько миллиардов долларов убытков в год, то Запад, конечно, будет впечатлен. Но не совсем в том смысле, на который надеялись в Кремле.

Если Кремль считает, что некоторых нефтетрейдеров, через которых государство продает нефть, могут на Западе взять за задницу, поэтому удобней решать такие вопросы с китайцами – это верно только до поры до времени.

Если что и можно сказать после этого контракта — это то, что потеря Дальнего Востока стала неизбежной. Просто потому, что с левой стороны Амура стоит скособочившийся Благовещенск, а напротив него — растут небоскребы Хэйхэ. Просто потому, что Кремль добивает Дальний Восток, запрещая то экспорт леса-кругляка, то импорт иномарок, а Китай считает, что обогащение бизнесменов есть национальная задача. Совершенно не исключен в обозримом будущем серьезнейший конфликт с Китаем — когда Кремль, сообразив, что он надел на себя нефтегазовую удавку, начнет, по обыкновению, плеваться, лягаться и устраивать «газовые» или «молочные» войны, тем самым только глубже затягивая удавку на шее.

Нетрудно заметить, что стратегия Кремля по отношению к Китаю полностью повторяет то, что делал бывший глава ЮКОСа Михаил Ходорковский. С одной только разницей.

Если вы строите нефтепровод за 4 млрд. дол, осваиваете месторождения и продаете нефть по рыночной цене — это означает создание мощнейшего экономического района в Восточной Сибири, района, где происходит рыночная диффузия России и Китая так, что экономика обеих стран оказывается спаяна, как сиамские близнецы, и война между Россией и Китаем автоматически становится невозможной, потому что принесет обеим сторонам слишком много ущерба.

Если вы строите самый дорогой в мире нефтепровод за 29 млрд. дол., если вы заключаете контракты в убыток государству (а прибыль – кому?),  если ваша деятельность по освоению месторождений Восточной Сибири при этом сводится к отъему лицензий у добитого ЮКОСа — то потеря этих территорий — не обязательно в ходе войны —  автоматически становится неотвратимой.

Юлия Латынина

Источникhttp://ej.ru/?a=note_print&id=9193


Дата публикации: 08.01.2013
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Title: Exploring the Dynamics of the Real Estate Property Market in Pakistan

Introduction:

The real estate sector in Pakistan has undergone significant transformations in recent years, reflecting the country's economic growth and urbanization. With a population exceeding 220 million people and a burgeoning middle class, the demand for housing and commercial spaces has surged, making the real estate market a key player in Pakistan's economic landscape.

Market Overview:

The real estate market in Pakistan is diverse, encompassing residential, commercial, and industrial segments. Major cities like Karachi, Lahore, and Islamabad have witnessed rapid urban development, leading to a rise in construction activities and property investments. The market is influenced by factors such as economic stability, government policies, and infrastructural developments.

Residential Real Estate:

The residential sector dominates the real estate market, driven by the increasing urban population and the desire for homeownership. Affordable housing schemes, government incentives, and mortgage financing options have played a pivotal role in encouraging property ownership. Gated communities and apartment complexes are becoming popular choices, providing modern amenities and a sense of security.

Commercial Real Estate:

Pakistan's growing economy has led to an expansion of the commercial real estate sector. Business hubs and commercial centers are emerging in response to the demand for office spaces, retail outlets, and mixed-use developments. Cities like Lahore and Karachi boast vibrant commercial districts, attracting local and international businesses.

Government Initiatives:

The government of Pakistan has implemented various initiatives to boost the real estate sector and encourage investment. Reforms in property laws, digitization of land records, and the introduction of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have aimed to streamline processes and enhance transparency. These measures have instilled confidence in investors and facilitated a more organized property market.

Challenges and Opportunities:

Despite the positive trends, the real estate market in Pakistan faces challenges such as regulatory complexities, land encroachments, and infrastructure gaps. However, these challenges also present opportunities for growth and innovation. Developers and investors are exploring sustainable practices, smart city concepts, and technological advancements to address these issues and elevate the real estate landscape.

Future Outlook: [url=https://locations.com.pk/]Real Estate Property Market Place in Pakistan
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The future of the real estate market in Pakistan looks promising, driven by a youthful population, urbanization trends, and government initiatives. As the country continues to invest in infrastructure and improve the business environment, the real estate sector is likely to play a pivotal role in fostering economic development and providing housing solutions for the growing population.

Conclusion:

The real estate property market in Pakistan is a dynamic and evolving sector, reflecting the changing socio-economic landscape of the country. With ongoing reforms, government support, and innovative approaches, the market is poised for sustained growth, offering opportunities for investors, developers, and individuals looking to be a part of the thriving real estate ecosystem in Pakistan.
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