Обаманомика, или рецепты предотвращения кризиса
По результатам подсчета голосов, переизбранный президент США Барак Обама потерял более 8 миллионов своих приверженцев в период с 2008 по 2012 годы. То есть его рейтинг доверия снизился с 52.9% до 50.5%. А вот республиканцы во главе с Миттом Ромни увеличили число сторонников с 45.7% до 48%. Этому однозначно поспособствовала та экономическая политика, которой придерживался новопереизбранный президент Соединенных Штатов.
Теперь перед Обамой стоит непростая задача – пересмотр старой и возможное претворение в жизнь новой политики, а также не нанести самый серьезный урон американской экономике за всю историю США.
Политика, которой придерживается Обама, включает повышение налогов без снижения бюджетных расходов, создание рабочих мест в частном производственном секторе, снижение импорта нефти и т.п. Казалось бы - благие намерения, но не все соотечественники американского президента разделяют его уверенность в светлом будущем.
Многие считают, что если до сих пор эти меры были несостоятельными, то вряд ли в будущем что-то может измениться к лучшему. И еще одна порция той же самой политики Обамы вызовет еще большее замедление экономики и усилит неопределенность в стране. Особенно если события будут развиваться по худшему сценарию и США упадет с “фискального обрыва”. В этом случае Соединенные Штаты ждет глубокая и продолжительная рецессия.
Президент твердо решил поднять налоги для тех, кто зарабатывает свыше $250,000 в год. Собранные таким образом средства пойдут на решение проблем с дефицитом бюджета. Кроме того, Обама пообещал иммиграционное законодательство и попытаться лишить США необходимости импортировать нефть. Некоторые его политические оппоненты не придают этому решению особого значения, тогда как многие экономисты расценивают это как меру, убивающую экономический рост. Достаточно скептично они отнеслись к заявлению о сокращению импорта нефти. По их мнению, данное заявление звучит так же абсурдно, как и десятки лет назад, когда подобное обещание давали другие президенты США.
В то же время, среди “стандартных” для политики Обамы путей решения экономических проблем на период второго срока президенства он добавил и несколько новых. Например, в своей победной речи он заявил буквально следующее: “Мы хотим, чтобы наши дети жили в Америке, неослабленной неравенством, свободной от долгового бремени и деструктивной мощи глобального потепления…”.
Глобальное потепление еще никогда ранее не обсуждалось во время предвыборных дебатов, но в этот раз данная тема была поднята. На этой волне активисты Гринписа, в рядах которого много сторонников Обамы, сразу же стали готовиться к новому походу против канадского нефтепровода Keystone.
Среди других инструментов достижения целей Обаманомики переизбранного президента Соединенных Штатов, кроме активистов Гринписа, также следует назвать Элизабет Уоррен. Профессор из Гарварда, известная тем, что явилась одной из зачинщиц кампании направленной против Уолл-Стрит смогла получить место в Сенате Конгресса США. И, судя по всему, она полна решимости продолжить свою борьбу, организовывая и дальше различные кампании, направленные против корпораций. Ей только нужно дождаться, когда банковское регулирующее законодательство попадет в Сенат на пересмотр.
Основы Обаманомики
Уже около месяца Барак Обмама на посту Президента США занимается спасением экономики страны. Какие именно ингредиенты входят в его рецепт выяснили журналисты издания Business Insider, составив список из 16 ключевых обещаний американцам.
1. Создать более 1 миллиона рабочих мест в производственном секторе до 2016 года. Добиться этого Обама планирует с помощью снижения корпоративного налога с 35% до 26,25%.
2. Отменить налоговые льготы для аутсорсинговых компаний, обязав их платить 20% от стоимости перемещения. Такая малопопулярная мера нужна для того, чтобы большие корпорации не уклонялись от уплаты налогов, выводя свой бизнес за рубеж, а потом возвращая его под другим названием.
3. Разработать новые принципы торговли с Китаем. Окончательный план действий Обама планирует выработать к 2016 году, то есть к концу своего второго срока.
4. Установить более тесное сотрудничество между колледжами и компаниями. Такой симбиоз должен обеспечить рост занятости еще на 2 миллиона рабочих мест.
5. Создать до 20 так называемых “инновационных производств”. В данном случае сотрудничество будет устанавливаться уже между компаниями и исследовательскими организациями.
6. Расширить площади для развития энергетических ресурсов. Кроме дополнительных возможностей для добычи угля, нефти и других полезных ископаемых, это должно создать еще около 600 тыс. рабочих мест.
7. Инвестировать в разработки альтернативных видов энергии. Данная мера должна сделать экономику страны более энергоэффективней.
8. Увеличить в два раза число энергоэкономных автомобилей к 2025 году. Это поможет значительно уменьшить объемы импорта нефти.
9. Сделать США мировым лидером в производстве высокотехнологичных батарей. Какую именно пользу это принесет стране в социально-экономическом плане, журналисты Business Insider не указали.
10. Перевести более 80% компаний, предоставляющих услуги ЖКХ, на использование “чистой” энергии к 2035 году. Это должно популяризовать использование альтернативных источников энергии и сделает ее более дешевой для остальных американских предприятий.
11. Давать налоговые скидки предприятиям, которые нанимают новых сотрудников или повышают зарплаты уже существующим.
12. Продлить налоговые льготы предоставленные Бушем младшим для семей среднего класса. В Америке, это домохозяйства, которые получают от $250 тыс. до $1 млн.
13. Предоставлять налоговые льготы для предприятий малого бизнеса, которые покупают медицинские страховки для своих работников. Особенно в тех случаях, когда их покупают оптом.
14. Ввести “правило Баффета”, согласно которому обеспеченные американцы (те, чей годовой доход превышает $1 млн.) должны будут платить налоги по ставке 30%.
15. Вывести войска из Ирака и Афганистана, а высвободившиеся средства пустить на развитие инфраструктуры и погашения государственного долга.
16. Не допустить коммерциализации сфер социального страхования.
Теренс Коркоран
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