Президент Украины Зеленский назвал ключевым условием мира гарантии безопасности

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О переговорах по урегулированию конфликта в Украине  

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Киев готов обсуждать Крым и Донбасс

Во вторник президент Украины Владимир Зеленский заявил, что готов обсудить проблематику Крыма и республик Донбасса при получении гарантий безопасности.

Эти вопросы, по мнению члена делегации Киева Михаила Подоляка, могут быть решены на встрече российского и украинского президентов. Хотя на нынешнем этапе военной операции РФ предоставление гарантий безопасности возможно лишь при выполнении Киевом требований, изначально обозначенных Москвой, заметил «НГ» ведущий эксперт Российского института стратегических исследований Олег Неменский.

В интервью, опубликованном на сайте украинского Общественного телевидения, Владимир Зеленский заявил, что готов обсудить с Россией вопросы Крыма и Донбасса после получения гарантий безопасности для Украины. По его словам, «это очень трудная история». И чтобы найти выход, нужно сделать первый шаг – в виде гарантий безопасности и окончания войны, уточнил Зеленский. Поднять эти вопросы он готов на первой встрече с президентом России. Хотя решения будут приняты не на этой встрече, так как, обсуждая вопросы гарантии безопасности, следует говорить об изменениях Конституции и украинского законодательства. «А если мы будем об этом говорить, то это в любом случае будет решаться не только президентом... (но. – «НГ») и Радой, и народом Украины», – определил Зеленский.

В свою очередь, член украинской делегации, советник главы офиса президента Украины Михаил Подоляк рассказал в интервью Би-би-си, что «любые принципиальные решения могут быть приняты только на встрече президентов двух стран – РФ и Украины». При этом, по его убеждению, Зеленский является единственным, кто точно понимает все аспекты того, что происходит сегодня между двумя странами. Когда рабочие группы в рамках переговорного процесса проработают какие-то предварительные документы, они будут переданы президентам и станут «дорожной картой» для дальнейшего обсуждения. В то время как Украина «показала свою боеспособность и свою логистическую зрелость» и смогла «построить инфраструктуру войны» – и это поможет теперь вести переговоры правильно, сформулировал Подоляк.

Так или иначе, в силу закрытости самого переговорного процесса пока сложно оценить способность Киева перейти от выстраивания инфраструктуры войны к сооружению фундаментальных основ для мира. Но очевидно, на данный момент представители Украины начали демонстрировать готовность к изменению своих позиций. Тогда как ранее они отвергали возможность каких-либо уступок в отношении «временно оккупированных» территорий Донбасса и Крыма.

Впрочем, как заметил «НГ» ведущий эксперт Российского института стратегических исследований (РИСИ) Олег Неменский, выступая за гарантии безопасности, Киев фактически пытается ухватиться за хвост уже упущенной возможности. Притом что западные партнеры уже показали, что намерены и далее поставлять украинской стороне вооружение, но не станут выступать гарантами ее безопасности. А в диалоге с Россией на нынешнем этапе военной операции РФ вопрос о гарантиях безопасности можно будет обсуждать лишь после выполнения ранее заявленных требований Москвы, определил Неменский.

В подобных условиях, предположил он, далее, вероятно, следует ожидать новых заявлений украинского президента, призванных подтвердить риторическую готовность к уступкам при одновременном выдвижении условий, делающих достижение компромисса невозможным. К подобным предложениям можно отнести, к примеру, и озвученную Зеленским идею о проведения референдума. Хотя очевидно, что организация подобного голосования – лишь на части территории страны, с дезориентированным населением, в условиях боевых действий – несвоевременна и бессмысленна. Более разумно было бы заняться проработкой конкретных вопросов, способных привести к кардинальному изменению сложившейся ситуации – с тем, чтобы затем их можно было обсудить на встрече двух лидеров, о которой так много говорят в Киеве, заключил ведущий эксперт РИСИ.

Напомним, ранее Владимир Зеленский также высказался за то, чтобы достигнутые переговорщиками положения по «гарантиям безопасности и временно оккупированным территориям» были вынесены на всеукраинский референдум. Как он отметил, «народ должен будет сказать и дать ответ на те или иные форматы компромиссов».

Во вторник, комментируя журналистам идею Киева о референдуме, пресс-секретарь президента РФ Дмитрий Песков уточнил, что Кремль не разглашает подробности переговоров делегаций России и Украины, дабы им не навредить. «Украина – это суверенное государство, и какие-то могут и должны быть внутригосударственные процедуры», – указал он. И подчеркнул, что есть «субстанции», которые находятся на стадии обсуждения, и он не должен вторгаться в детали этих «субстанций», чтобы не повредить переговорному процессу. Также Песков не стал вдаваться в «плавающий» график переговоров, хотя и выразил пожелание, чтобы они были более активными и содержательными.

Относительно возможной встречи на высшем уровне, то, как констатировал ранее представитель Кремля, пока на продолжающихся переговорах стороны не добились существенного продвижения. «Для того чтобы речь могла зайти о встрече двух президентов, нужно сначала сделать домашнюю работу», – резюмировал Песков.

Автор Наталья Приходко

Источник - https://www.ng.ru/cis/2022-03-22/1_8397_kiev.html

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Мнение политолога: США не верят в успех переговоров Киева и Москвы

Эксперты не исключают, что Байден в Европе затронет крайний сценарий – вмешательство НАТО.

Президент США Джозеф Байден отправляется в Европу, где будет обсуждать в том числе санкции в отношении РФ. Поставить процесс наказания РФ на паузу решили в Евросоюзе, где ждут итогов переговоров Киева с Москвой. Госсекретарь Энтони Блинкен высказался за новые санкции. Это может свидетельствовать о том, что в Белом доме не верят в быстрое окончание спецоперации и настраиваются на то, что НАТО как-то вмешается в конфликт.

Начинается визит Джозефа Байдена в Европу. В понедельник он провел серию телефонных переговоров с президентом Франции Эмманюэлем Макроном, канцлером Германии Олафом Шольцем, премьер-министром Италии Марио Драги и премьер-министром Великобритании Борисом Джонсоном. Главное, что обсуждалось – ситуация в Украине и вокруг нее. Та же тема станет ключевой на трех мероприятиях, которые Байден посетит: саммит G7, который пройдет 23 марта, и намеченные на следующий день встречу НАТО и саммит ЕС. Завершить свое турне американский лидер планирует в Польше. Там 26 марта запланированы его переговоры с польским президентом Анджеем Дудой, в ходе которых опять же будет обсуждаться Украина.

Байден не только подтвердит, что оборонные гарантии НАТО на Польшу, безусловно, распространяются и всемерную поддержку Варшаве в случае российского вторжения Вашингтон окажет, но и поговорит о координации действий двух стран на случай эскалации конфликта. А о том, что Россия может «сыграть на обострение», американский президент предупредил публично. Байден сказал, что возможны кибератаки в отношении американских компаний, и выразил опасение, что Владимир Путин применит в Украине химическое оружие. «Чем больше он прижат к стене, тем жестче тактика, которой он может придерживаться», – считает президент США. Тем не менее о необходимости ввести новые санкции против РФ он ничего не сказал.

Между тем в преддверии визита Байдена в Европу госсекретарь США Энтони Блинкен провел переговоры с главой МИД Франции Жан-Ивом Ле Дрианом. На них слово «санкции» прозвучало. «Главы внешнеполитических ведомств отметили, что в условиях российского наступления необходимо продолжать ужесточать санкции», – говорится в заявлении МИД Франции.

Это расходится с итогами встречи министров иностранных дел и обороны стран ЕС, которая прошла в понедельник. Там было решено повременить с санкциями. Причина понятна: идут украино-российские переговоры и оптимистические прогнозы, которые делаются в этой связи, не выглядят лишенными оснований. И с украинской, и с российской стороны говорят о том, что диалог проходит сложно. Но ни в Киеве, ни в Москве не заявляют о тупике в переговорном процессе. На этом фоне впечатляет не позиция Франции, а то, что против санкционной паузы высказались США. Блинкен не стал объяснять, почему он не верит в результативность российско-украинских переговоров. Это объяснение скорее всего последует со стороны Байдена в ходе его европейского турне.

А пока главный научный сотрудник Института США и Канады РАН Владимир Васильев в комментарии «НГ» предположил, что американский президент едет в Европу даже не говорить об ужесточении санкций и их распространении на наиболее чувствительную для России энергетическую сферу. Байден хочет, считает эксперт, обсудить форму вмешательства НАТО в российско-украинский конфликт. «Вряд ли американский президент едет в Европу, чтобы построить союзников и поговорить об энергетике. Это можно было бы сделать и дистанционно, по видеосвязи. А вот если речь идет о военном вмешательстве, то тут присутствие Байдена совершенно необходимо», – считает эксперт.

По мнению Васильева, подобный шаг был бы логичен для американского президента с точки зрения его политических перспектив в США. Байдена сейчас критикуют не только за то, что он допустил российскую операцию, но и выбранную им тактику: поддержку Украины только санкциями. Открыто эту точку зрения изложил Джон Болтон. Он, напомним, в годы правления Дональда Трампа был помощником по национальной безопасности и все еще пользуется определенным влиянием в Республиканской партии и в американском экспертном сообществе. В интервью редакционному объединению Redaktionsnetzwerk Deutschland Болтон назвал большой ошибкой Байдена то, что тот с самого начала кризиса вокруг Украины исключил вмешательство в него войск западных стран. Если бы США дали понять Путину, что он рискует нарваться на военный конфликт с ними, российской операции не случилось бы, считает отставной американский чиновник, выражая не только свое мнение, но и позицию многих представителей американского истеблишмента.

Васильев полагает, что быстрого вмешательства США в конфликт не будет. «На первой стадии американцы посмотрят, как держится вооруженная западным оружием Украина. Если увидят, что держится плохо, к конфликту в той или иной форме будут подключаться соседние страны – члены НАТО: Польша, Прибалтика, Румыния, возможно, Словакия. И уж потом, в случае отсутствия другого выхода, вероятно вмешательство тех же США», – считает эксперт.

Автор Геннадий Петров

Источник - https://www.ng.ru/world/2022-03-22/1_8397_negotiation.html

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Приложение. Польша сколачивает в Европе коалицию голубых касок

Военно-гуманитарные войска Варшавы и ее союзников могут помешать проведению Россией спецоперации

Специальная военная операция (СВО) России в Украине уже в ближайшее время может изменить свою конфигурацию и, возможно, цели. Это произойдет, если на саммитах НАТО или Евросоюза 24–25 марта будет одобрена идея о вводе в Украину миротворческих сил, которую на прошлой неделе озвучил вице-премьер Польши Ярослав Качиньский. Глава МИД РФ Сергей Лавров назвал эту идею «демагогической», полагая, что в НАТО ее вряд ли поддержат. Однако есть вероятность, что Польша найдет в Европе единомышленников.

О готовности Копенгагена поддержать Варшаву и ввести войска в Украину в рамках миротворческой миссии уже заявил министр обороны Дании Мортен Бодсков. Эксперты считают, что такого же мнения придерживаются руководители Чехии и Словении Петр Фиал и Янез Янш, которые вместе с польским премьером Матеушем Моравецким посещали 15 марта Киев, выразив поддержку украинскому президенту Владимиру Зеленскому. Аналогичную позицию могут занять страны Балтии – Латвия, Литва и Эстония, недавно предлагавшие ввести над Украиной бесполетную зону. К ним могут присоединиться Франция и Словакия, голубые каски которых имеют опыт участия в гуманитарных миротворческих миссиях.

Если такая коалиция будет собрана, она будет не похожа на демагогическую авантюру, даже при том что США и руководство НАТО уже сообщили, что не будут поддерживать миротворческие инициативы Варшавы. Президент США Джозеф Байден в очередной раз заявил о том, что военнослужащие США не будут ввязываться в конфликт, а генсек НАТО Йенс Столтенберг отмечал, что члены альянса не разделяют мнение о необходимости присутствия их сил на территории или в воздушном пространстве Украины.

Однако, по мнению Качиньского, в Украине необязательно должна быть миротворческая миссия НАТО, например, туда можно отправить «какую-то более широкую международную структуру», но главное, чтобы «миссия могла защитить себя». При этом, как бы поддерживая намерение Польши, постпред США при ООН Линда Томас-Гринфилд заявила накануне, что «другие страны НАТО могут сами решить, хотят ли они направить своих военных в Украину».

Пресс-секретарь президента РФ Дмитрий Песков сообщил, что « Россия негативно отреагирует в случае, если одна из стран НАТО попытается вмешаться в ситуацию в Украине». По его словам, именно об этом сказал в своем обращении к гражданам глава РФ Владимир Путин. Такая позиция Москвы, похоже, не сильно пугает Польшу. Посол Польши в США Марек Магеровский сообщил, что в свете возможной конфронтации с Россией миротворческая идея Варшавы в Украине является предварительной, она необязательно должна воплощаться в рамках Североатлантического альянса. «НАТО не надо участвовать в этой операции. Но мы должны задействовать любые варианты», – добавил он. Таким образом, Польша инициирует расширение спектра средств и методов, направленных против РФ, и предстоящий в четверг экстренный саммит НАТО станет хорошей возможностью, чтобы обсудить варианты «сдерживания России».

Заметим, что Варшава не только действует на дипломатическом фронте, но укрепляет свой оборонный потенциал, а также поддерживает Украину. По инициативе Польши, по данным военного эксперта Юрия Кнутова, польский военный аэродром Жешув, находящийся близ украинской границы, используется силами НАТО для поставок в Восточную Европу вооружений и живой силы – иностранных граждан, которые желают помогать Вооруженным силам Украины. Бывший премьер-министр Польши Дональд Туск призвал увеличить численность сил НАТО в польском регионе до 30 тыс. солдат, то есть более чем в два раза. А посол Украины в Польше Андрей Дещица заявил, что Польша уже начала подготовку к вероятному вторжению со стороны РФ. Напомним, 11 марта 2022 года польский Сейм принял «Закон о защите Отечества», согласно которому уже в ближайшее время численность личного состава Войска Польского должна быть увеличена в два раза до 300 тыс. военнослужащих, а расходы на оборону депутаты предлагают увеличить до 3% от ВВП.

Автор Владимир Мухин, oбозреватель «Независимой газеты»

Источник - https://www.ng.ru/armies/2022-03-22/2_8397_poland.html


Дата публикации: 23.03.2022
Добавил:   venjamin.tolstonog
Просмотров: 454
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블로그 관련 연구에 대한 정보를 검색하는 동안이 게시물을 찾았습니다. 좋은 게시물입니다 .. 정보를 계속 게시하고 업데이트하십시오.
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 스마일토토 | 01.08.2023, 09:23 #
나는 그들이 매우 도움이 될 것이라고 확신하기 때문에 사람들을 귀하의 사이트로 다시 보내기 위해 귀하의 사이트를 내 소셜 미디어 계정에 추가하고 공유했습니다.
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나는 그들이 매우 도움이 될 것이라고 확신하기 때문에 사람들을 귀하의 사이트로 다시 보내기 위해 귀하의 사이트를 내 소셜 미디어 계정에 추가하고 공유했습니다.
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 아톰카지노 | 01.08.2023, 10:32 #
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 마추자 | 01.08.2023, 10:56 #
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꽤 좋은 게시물입니다. 방금 귀하의 블로그를 우연히 발견하고 귀하의 블로그 게시물을 읽는 것이 정말 즐거웠다고 말하고 싶었습니다. 어떤 식 으로든 피드를 구독하고 곧 다시 게시 해 주시기 바랍니다. 유용한 정보에 감사드립니다.
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꽤 좋은 게시물입니다. 방금 귀하의 블로그를 우연히 발견하고 귀하의 블로그 게시물을 읽는 것이 정말 즐거웠다고 말하고 싶었습니다. 어떤 식 으로든 피드를 구독하고 곧 다시 게시 해 주시기 바랍니다. 유용한 정보에 감사드립니다.
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 장난감토토 | 01.08.2023, 12:07 #
귀하의 블로그가 너무 놀랍습니다. 나는 내가보고있는 것을 쉽게 발견했다. 또한 콘텐츠 품질이 굉장합니다. 넛지 주셔서 감사합니다!
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 승부벳 | 01.08.2023, 12:28 #
꽤 좋은 게시물입니다. 방금 귀하의 블로그를 우연히 발견하고 귀하의 블로그 게시물을 읽는 것이 정말 즐거웠다고 말하고 싶었습니다. 어떤 식 으로든 피드를 구독하고 곧 다시 게시 해 주시기 바랍니다. 유용한 정보에 감사드립니다.
승부벳
 유니벳 | 01.08.2023, 12:50 #
귀하의 블로그가 너무 놀랍습니다. 나는 내가보고있는 것을 쉽게 발견했다. 또한 콘텐츠 품질이 굉장합니다.유니벳
 토맵 | 01.08.2023, 13:21 #
꽤 좋은 게시물입니다. 방금 귀하의 블로그를 우연히 발견하고 귀하의 블로그 게시물을 읽는 것이 정말 즐거웠다고 말하고 싶었습니다. 어떤 식 으로든 피드를 구독하고 곧 다시 게시 해 주시기 바랍니다. 유용한 정보에 감사드립니다.
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 사나이벳 | 01.08.2023, 13:46 #
꽤 좋은 게시물입니다. 방금 귀하의 블로그를 우연히 발견하고 귀하의 블로그 게시물을 읽는 것이 정말 즐거웠다고 말하고 싶었습니다. 어떤 식 으로든 피드를 구독하고 곧 다시 게시 해 주시기 바랍니다. 유용한 정보에 감사드립니다.
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긍정적 인 사이트,이 게시물에 대한 정보를 어디서 얻었습니까? 나는 그것을 발견하게되어 기쁘다. 당신이 어떤 추가 포스트를 포함하는지 곧 확인하기 위해 곧 다시 확인할 것이다.
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 카지노사이트 | 20.01.2024, 06:04 #
당신의 기사는 정말 사랑스러워 보입니다. 여기 당신이 좋아할만한 사이트 링크가 있습니다.
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 소액결제현금화 | 20.01.2024, 06:24 #
여기에 나열된 정기 방문은 귀하의 에너지를 평가하는 가장 쉬운 방법이므로 매일 웹 사이트를 방문하여 새롭고 흥미로운 정보를 검색합니다. 많은 감사합니다
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 토토사이트 | 20.01.2024, 06:47 #
나는 모든 것을 확실히 즐기고 있습니다. 훌륭한 웹 사이트이자 좋은 공유입니다. 감사합니다. 잘 했어! 여러분은 훌륭한 블로그를 만들고 훌륭한 콘텐츠를 가지고 있습니다. 좋은 일을 계속하십시오.
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 스포츠중계 | 20.01.2024, 07:15 #
읽어 주셔서 감사합니다 !! 나는 당신이 게시하는 새로운 내용을 확인하기 위해 북마크에 추가했습니다.
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 카지노사이트 | 21.01.2024, 05:17 #
나는 모든 것을 확실히 즐기고 있습니다. 훌륭한 웹 사이트이자 좋은 공유입니다. 감사합니다. 잘 했어! 여러분은 훌륭한 블로그를 만들고 훌륭한 콘텐츠를 가지고 있습니다. 좋은 일을 계속하십시오.
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 코인개발 | 25.03.2024, 02:23 #
코인 지갑 개발 블록체인 프로젝트의 모든것 코인라인 입니다. 코인, 지갑개발, 거래소개발, 마케팅, 백서 , 웹사이트 https://coinline.co.kr/
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